Punctuated Equilibrium in AI : Is it Better to Be A First Mover or A Last Mover?
Tomasz Tunguz
JULY 14, 2024
Machine learning advances tend to evolve in bursts. Researchers publish a new paper with a newly discovered technique. It launches the industry forward & more researchers rapidly iterate to improve it further. Progress looks like this - a series of S curves one after another. No one knows the time period between the rapid progress or the slope of the curves or how much progress we’ll make during one of these curves.
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