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Bad Notes on Venture Capital

Both Sides of the Table

On the phone … Me: So, you raised venture capital? It’s like we need a finance 101 course for entrepreneurs. In finance they call it “terminal value” but the truth is the price is as arbitrary at your A round as it is at your seed round. Me: So, who was willing to invest in that?

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Playing the Long Game in Venture Capital

Both Sides of the Table

This “overnight success” was first financed in 2004. Of the first four investments I made as a VC in 2009, two have exited and two (Invoca & GumGum) still are independent and likely to produce $billion++ outcomes . sold to Disney for $670 million and since our first investment was at < $10 million valuation we did quite well.

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Venture Capital is About Human Capital

Both Sides of the Table

Most VCs did well academically and had enough career success that a venture firm was willing to give them an investment role or they were able to raise their own fund. Fundamentally venture capital is about human capital. In the end I know the only true differentiator in venture capital is the company you keep.

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Why Was Winter in Venture Capital Funding so Short?

Both Sides of the Table

It was only a year ago that many in the Venture Capital industry were predicting that “winter was coming” and to be fair the author of this post was chief amongst them. So VCs made fewer investments at lower prices and generally on terms that were more favorable to investors relative to 2015. Baidu alone raised $3.2

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Why Has Seed Investing Declined? And What Does this Mean for the Future?

Both Sides of the Table

Seed investments are down by any measure (funds, deals, dollars) over the past 3 years in deals < $1 million AND in deals between $1–5 million. Over the past month a colleague ( Chang Xu ) and I sifted through data on the venture capital industry (as we do every year) and made a bunch of calls to VCs and LPs to confirm our hypotheses.

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Changes in the Venture Capital Funding Environment

Both Sides of the Table

I remember when seed funds first started (they were being incorrectly called “super angels” and then Micro VCs before Seed Funds stuck) and every LP (who invest in VCs) told me they weren’t convinced about Seed Funds (too small, too hard to pick winners, would they be able to follow on?). Explosion in Seed Funds. I Leaderless Rounds.

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The Changing Venture Landscape

Both Sides of the Table

And the loosening of federal monetary policies, particularly in the US, has pushed more dollars into the venture ecosystems at every stage of financing. how on Earth could the venture capital market stand still? What Has Changed in Financing? That used to be called A-round investing. Of course we can’t.

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