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The Coming Zombie Startup Apocalypse

This is going to be BIG.

Sam Altman of YC recently pointed out that pulling back during the downturn in 2008 would result in several big misses: In October of 2008, Sequoia Capital—arguably the best-ever in the business—gave the famous “RIP Good Times” presentation (I was there). A few months later, we funded Airbnb.

startup 419
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Cash on Cash vs IRR

A VC: Musings of a VC in NYC

Our 2008 vintage early-stage fund has generated about 5x cash on cash but only generated a 22.5% Our first Opportunity Fund, raised two years later in 2010, has generated only 3.9x And our second Opportunity Fund, raised in 2014, has generated 7.3x Three of our most mature funds showcase how these numbers can behave differently.

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What Everyone Should Take Away from Twitter’s 8% Staff Reductions

Both Sides of the Table

The truth is that Twitter is an amazing company and still has an amazing opportunity in front of it. But like many companies over the past five years it hired aggressively and probably had some degree of straying off of a core strategy and some amount of excess jobs relative to its current revenue forecasts and opportunities.

VC 392
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"About Last Night." The note I just sent to my portfolio.

This is going to be BIG.

In 2008, I tried to fundraise for my startup the week that Lehman Brothers went under. Over the long term, innovation prevailed and 2008 turned out to be a great year to have a 1-3 year old company if you could make it through the next year. You can imagine how well that worked out.

VC 283
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The Changing Structure of the VC Industry

Both Sides of the Table

15 years ago we were at the peak of Internet hype with the launch of many over-capitalized businesses with a market size & opportunity was limited. Opportunity funds typically have better economics for the LPs who invest in them. More opportunities than ever in history for venture capital firms =. Where are we today?

VC 398
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It’s Morning in Venture Capital

Both Sides of the Table

There are obvious reasons the industry has had less-than-desirable returns, including: massive over-funding of the sector, huge increases in inexperienced venture capitalists that took a decade to peter out, and the massive correction in the value of the public stock markets that closed many exit opportunities for half a decade.

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On Bubbles … And Why We’ll Be Just Fine

Both Sides of the Table

I said, “It’s much easier now than it was in 2008/09.&# And time is the enemy of all deals so start sooner rather than later, as anybody who was planning to raise in October 2008 will tell you. That happened a lot in 2002 and again in 2008. Vultures will start circling looking for deals. That’s a fact.