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2010 VC Funding Outlook for Startups – Prepare for Winter (Part 3/3)

Both Sides of the Table

In the first post in this three part series I described why I believe the VC market froze between September 2008 – April 2009. I obviously don’t have a crystal ball so the economy could fare better than my gut, but here’s why I’m cautious for some time in 2010 or early 2011: Why is the future still so unpredictable?

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The Changing Structure of the VC Industry

Both Sides of the Table

The VC market has right-sized (returned back to mid 90′s levels & less competition). But it still takes VC to scale a business (thus large capital into industry winners like Uber, Airbnb, SnapChat, etc). But it still takes VC to scale a business (thus large capital into industry winners like Uber, Airbnb, SnapChat, etc).

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The Twenty Year Itch: My Last VC Investment Out of Brooklyn Bridge Ventures

This is going to be BIG.

Sometime in the next few weeks, I’ll complete my next investment. Last August, I passed the point at which I had spent literally half my entire life working in this asset class, having started at the General Motors pension fund doing institutional investments in venture funds and late-stage directs back in February of 2001.

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Angel Investing: Skill 3 – Relationships with VCs

Both Sides of the Table

I’d rather be Roger Ehrenberg with a thesis around data-centric companies and base my investment decisions on the skills I’ve developed in my career. To some extent Keith Rabois agreed with me about domain knowledge and argued that most of his investments are in the consumer Internet space as a result. Always have been.

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How early should you connect to a VC? Here's some data.

This is going to be BIG.

How long does it take from first meeting a VC to getting cash in the bank? I went back across the 21 investments I''ve made both at First Round and at Brooklyn Bridge Ventures --a period that dates back to January 28, 2010, when I closed on Backupify. That''s an interesting question.

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Why Has Seed Investing Declined? And What Does this Mean for the Future?

Both Sides of the Table

Seed investments are down by any measure (funds, deals, dollars) over the past 3 years in deals < $1 million AND in deals between $1–5 million. Over the past month a colleague ( Chang Xu ) and I sifted through data on the venture capital industry (as we do every year) and made a bunch of calls to VCs and LPs to confirm our hypotheses.

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What is it Like to Negotiate a VC Round?

Both Sides of the Table

The truth is that I’ve been warning about convertible notes since 2010 it was first declared that “convertible notes have won.” ” Today I want to talk about how a VC thinks about equity pricing on your round and particularly if you’re coming off of a convertible note. It’s very simple.

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